This is conventional wisdom about turf racing. If you’re watching what’s going on at Gulfstream with turf racing horses on the lead are dominating. I don’t see too many coming with rallies from the back of the pack at all. And if they do rally it’s too late to win, even at the longer distances (and there haven’t been too many of those races). This could be a function of longer stretches without too much rain, but I haven’t followed the weather that closely. Some turf courses favor speed more than others (like Monmouth).

I do agree with the observations about Tapeta. I don’t see it as a speed favoring surface.

HP