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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: Fill in the Blank (387 Views)
Posted by: prist (IP Logged)
Date: March 21, 2022 11:29AM

ruthlessman Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I think the run up would be a factor in opening
> fraction.

True. That's why I went ahead and reworked all my charts to reflect a run-up of 0. I should have done this a long time ago. My original charts seemed to reflect a run-up of around 60ft.

Now I just have to figure out how to adjust for the run-up.

An acquaintance of mine actually tried to figure out the run-up adjustment a long time ago. I was playing around with the data he came up with last night and I'm not sure what to think of it. Two recent examples from Oaklawn listed below.

[u]Whitmore Stakes[/u]
2f: 163 (108)
4f: 132 (118)
6f: 128 (128)

[u]Essex Handicap[/u]
2f: 120 (52)
4f: 93 (71)
6f: 104 (96)
8.5f: 114 (114)

The first number is the raw Beyer with no run-up. Adjusted for run-up in ().

I don't know. The route adjustments seem to be too extreme. Maybe even the sprint adjustment as well.

The run-up for the Whitmore was 80ft. The Essex 60ft.



Subject Written By Posted
Fill in the Blank (604 Views) prist 03/18/2022 02:15PM
Re: Fill in the Blank (410 Views) Roman 03/18/2022 08:08PM
Re: Fill in the Blank (402 Views) Tavasco 03/18/2022 10:56PM
Re: Fill in the Blank (409 Views) ruthlessman 03/19/2022 10:01AM
Re: Fill in the Blank (387 Views) prist 03/21/2022 11:29AM
Re: Fill in the Blank (358 Views) prist 03/22/2022 12:47PM
Re: Fill in the Blank (364 Views) mjellish 03/23/2022 01:20AM
Re: Fill in the Blank (293 Views) prist 03/23/2022 09:54AM


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