Derby Picks (853 Views)
Posted by:
HP (IP Logged)
Date: May 06, 2022 11:21AM
I never do this but why not? Pretty short
Top picks
Mo Donegal - is anyone happier about the Baffert mess than Todd Pletcher? The original White Mercedes? I think the cursed one hole may be good as he will definitely save ground and if anyone can steer him through the mess late it's Irad. Perfect sheet, I know most don't get new tops, especially TAP, but I like this one. I just do.
Smile Happy - I laugh when I see Runhappy but I like his running style here, he's fast enough to win and will be a fair/nice price.
Zandon - Will not be in my exactas at a short price as I have a hard time believing Upstart = 1-1/4 miles? But he fits and has to be on tri/super tix.
Second tier
Charge It - I think he was a little green last out and will improve. Fair price+.
Messier/Taiba - Messier makes more sense to me. These horses are not really training like Baffert would train them? They are going to get bet. Could be 1-2 and could both be off the board, especially if they have company up front. I'm seeing it's going to be clearing up Saturday so a drying out track? Could be tiring? Neither of these has ever seen a surface like they're going to see tomorrow. Not even close. Taiba shipped late. PITA. Plural.
Zosos/Cyberknife - These are probably going to be value. Both have a punchers chance of winning and much better chance of getting on the board.
So I'm bullish on Pletchers and Smile Happy and will use others underneath and will have a few tix without the Yakteens. Pretty straightforward for me.
Good luck to all!
HP
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