Re: EVERYBODY KNOWS... (357 Views)
Posted by:
Bet Twice (IP Logged)
Date: May 08, 2022 10:09PM
I think people are reading too much into this.
Trainer has no history of jump ups, and highly unlikely to try something new at one of the most scrutinized events of the year.
I would think “super trainers” unlikely to be using in preps given the scrutiny around the sport recently. Not an expert, so it’s possible, but would think people are pretty fearful and on best behavior.
Horse ran a 9 last year on dirt and didn’t move forward on poly. Maybe he didn’t like the poly and his preps would have been better on the dirt. Pattern not horrible, reasonable to expect a forward move. Fast pace, great ride, and he got faster from 2 to 3.
Not suggesting I bet him, because I didn’t, but there doesn’t need to be some conspiratorial explanation for him to win.
I’ll be interested to see the numbers coming out of the race.