Longest shot on the morning line comes in with the fastest figure adjusted for weight, rested, a positive trainer change and very good trainer intent. Now, the big figs were earned on a different surface but the horse is actually bred better for the turf than the dirt anyway. Smallish field so as a closer he shouldn't loose as much ground as he would in a bigger field and there are a bunch of deep closer types so he might now have to pass as many and go as wide as he normally would in a field full of stalkers.

Richard's Kid is the key in the race at anywhere near the 20-1 morning line.

thoughts?