I would totally disagree with most of this. Do you really believe the current odds (Sat. AM) reflect the fig guys? The heavy hitters who buy this stuff have not bet A DIME yet (relative to what they will bet).

I agree with your points on Perfect Drift.

As for Saarland, how you can say anyone is 'right on' about anything? TG has him slower than a few in here and he hasn't won a thing. At this point, he's a horse with a sound pattern and the potential to win the race, like about six others, and he could be out of the money running a good race too wide. If he ends up the favorite, there are other factors besides the figs (mostly that he does look like he's on the upswing, his daddy won, his connections are heavies and he's a dual qualifier).

Harlan's Holiday is not getting respect at the windows because his Beyers aren't that good. On Came Home, the Beyers decline as the distance stretches too. This has more to do with what's going on now than anything from this quarter.

I don't think the figs guys have had any more impact this year than any of the last few. And wait and see how the pools turn out. Should be an interesting day. HP