I wouldn't touch him on Saturday. Certainly not at 4-5. This will be his 4th race since March 1st (his peak race btw), and he's run his eyeballs out in all 3. He's extremely talented, that's obvious, but he's not a machine.

As for American Promise, James Quinn warned us years ago in "Figure Handicapping" to be leery of the spectacular number achieved around one turn that rarely, if ever, is approached or repeated around two.


Good Luck,
Joe B.