Re: Kee R2 (242 Views)
Posted by: Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: October 18, 2025 12:54PM
A little bit of simple math to highlight from this race 2 exacta after a friend called upset about this outcome. Note: no one has discussed the trifecta much which if there is any data about the amount in the final cycle, I'd love to see it.
Total Exacta Pool: $195,604.00
Takeout: 19.5% on exactas
Remaining Pool for Winning Bettors: $157,561.22
Exacta Payout for $1: $286.74
Winning Combinations by Dollars: $549.00
Winning Combos Bet in the Very Last Cycle: $446.00
Percent of 7-5 winning combo bet in the last cycle (likely CAW money): 81%
$446.00 winning bets in the final cycle x $286.74 winning $1 payoff = $127,886.04.
$127k is the amount that the final cycle of exacta bettors extracted from the pool. (Likely all CAW's)
$127,886.04 divided by $157,561.22 = 81% of the pool for winning bettors betting (included) in the very last flash. Doubtful much if any of that cycle was retail money. Interesting that the final cycle of money on that 7-5 combo was 81% of that combo and that the final cycle winning amount extracted 81% of the pool after takeout.
I've heard people say they would have won more if they had bet a smaller amount. I disagree. This is about extracting all they can and they extracted everything that they could.
The real secret here is that the tracks know how much percentage wise the CAW's are in the pool and for whatever reason don't want to share that with the public. Is it north of 60, 70, 80%? They tell you it's not but have you seen any proof? I'm sure they are putting that together now along with letting you know exactly where those $446 of winning bets came from on Thursday.
Total Exacta Pool: $195,604.00
Takeout: 19.5% on exactas
Remaining Pool for Winning Bettors: $157,561.22
Exacta Payout for $1: $286.74
Winning Combinations by Dollars: $549.00
Winning Combos Bet in the Very Last Cycle: $446.00
Percent of 7-5 winning combo bet in the last cycle (likely CAW money): 81%
$446.00 winning bets in the final cycle x $286.74 winning $1 payoff = $127,886.04.
$127k is the amount that the final cycle of exacta bettors extracted from the pool. (Likely all CAW's)
$127,886.04 divided by $157,561.22 = 81% of the pool for winning bettors betting (included) in the very last flash. Doubtful much if any of that cycle was retail money. Interesting that the final cycle of money on that 7-5 combo was 81% of that combo and that the final cycle winning amount extracted 81% of the pool after takeout.
I've heard people say they would have won more if they had bet a smaller amount. I disagree. This is about extracting all they can and they extracted everything that they could.
The real secret here is that the tracks know how much percentage wise the CAW's are in the pool and for whatever reason don't want to share that with the public. Is it north of 60, 70, 80%? They tell you it's not but have you seen any proof? I'm sure they are putting that together now along with letting you know exactly where those $446 of winning bets came from on Thursday.
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