I'll start this with the thought that any of the entries that don't run one of their best races will not hit the board and maybe not even then.

The two deep closers, BAEZA and SOVEREIGNTY, are one-dimensional, and expecting them to save any ground is optimistic. IMO. I also think one or both are probable to earn a minor placing.

It looks possible that a small group will be front-running and attend the pace. FORGED STEEL, MAGNITUDE, WHITE ABARRIO. I think Saffie Joseph will send FORGED STEEL in an effort to take MAGNITUDE out of his game to help WHITE ABARRIO.

I expect the remaining three entries to race somewhere between the aforementioned two groups. These three are subject to traffic and trip problems and must save ground and momentum to get a piece.

A -3 with no ground loss is and will be hard to beat - MAGNITUDE.

4/1 is usually enough to back a -4 contender who should get a good trip, even a female off a jump-up top performance - NITROGEN

A versatile and consistent -numbers champion runner with a top trainer and the possible assistance of a race rabbit could win by ruining the favorite's routine - WHITE ABARRIO

A legendary trainer on a micro burst streak with a horse whose pattern seems capable of another jump-up Saturday race (at a price?) - ANTIQUARIAN

Why would the favorite's trainer enter a second runner? Well, the second runner looks to be sitting on a maturity-inspired improvement from a sire inclined so - TIZTASTIC.

The celebrities, the one-run closers, the accomplished 3 y/o's, neither of which were precocious and are likely to become faster with age. One ridden by a Jockey known for saving ground, both needing that and being faster to win. Needing to be faster all for a modicum reward - BAEZA & SOVEREIGNTY

WHITE ABARRIO to win at 8/1 M/L
EBX WHITE ABARRIO/NITROGEN
TRI MAGNITUDE/ANTIQUARIAN & TIZTASTIC/SOVEREIGNTY & BAEZA

Both the Appleby & Crisford Euros look to me as capable of winning in Race 11.