The last race on the card is soooooo BAD today the only pick 4 play would be an all in the heat. The pick 5 pool is swelling as many folks are catching onto the merits of a 15% takeout with a .50 minimum.

I spent quite a bit of time last night discussing todays sequence with Jimbo,our opinions were certainly not in alignment as he asked me if I was looking at T-graph? It seems he has gravitated his focus on it as well. A 15 % takeout with a rebate schedule of 5-9% depending on my level of action and which account I'm using has me in the midst of an experiment. Mathcapper has blessed the merits of the math with a disclaimer that I still would be required to pick winners! Thanks Rocky.

Today's allure is the 4th race taking a stand against a Chad Brown horse that will go off 2 or 3/5 off a big one turn number. His horses normally don't bounce but I'm taking a shot to knock out 90% plus of the pick 5 pool with a modest ticket. It's also is a race with a couple of hard knockers that win races and have back numbers. One of my MO's for many years has been betting against maidens, NW1X or NW2L horses when they run against multiple winners, These horses are often way over bet and have never beaten a horse that has beaten winners.

2nd: 2,3,7,8 the favorite ran a good number in a MSW and was dropped in for a tag in his next start and Tony Durrow has been ice cold all year in NY.

3rd: Frenchy on a slow favorite, no thank you, Butch Reid is sharp coming into town, heading south with back numbers and Giant Fox is a new gelding heading in the correct direction. 3,9

4th: No Chad, 2 Gargans' and a sneaky good Cannizzo. 1,2,5

5th: 1,2,9 are automatics and I dare not leave out the Pletcher although she looks not at all like a green lover to me. 1,2,5,9

6th: Shug looks to have a good one here but is certainly not a single. Ralph Nicks was very hot with a small Belmont sample of runners, Tizacity was 2nd choice to a run away winner in her debut who was bet and the dam has a sprint number to take the heat. Barclay Tagg's horses have been running fairly well so far and this one's thoro quick pattern is taking a left turn. I'm not using a slow Chad/JJ probable 2nd choice here. 1,4,7

The sequence is $144 for .50 if you're going cave man, I will pay a caveman simply because if I'm right I'm really going to get paid here!!! I'll also press it with some sensible lesser A,B tickets.

Good luck to all,

Frank D.

* A note that Eric Donovan is not making the ML for this meet, he is doing something else for NYRA apparently and there have been some head scratching ML's posted by Travis Stone.