Kentucky Downs - Sunday - Race 8 (1461 Views)
Posted by:
sparacingfan (IP Logged)
Date: September 10, 2016 11:26PM
I have been using TG Sheets for a couple of years now - but am still very much a newbie when it comes to understanding the patterns that I should be looking for and how to effectively use this product to maximize its benefits.
I am taking a stab at Kentucky Downs tomorrow - a track that I rarely play. For this post I am focusing on race 8 at Kentucky Downs.
I am hoping to get some guidance from some of the veterans on this site.
So here goes - please share insights if you want. If this is not the proper place for this type of post - please let me know.
School board Prez - looks to slow - but the Thoropattern for the trainer looks promising - how should I be applying the thcropattern star for the trainer to my handicapping - how much should I value this?
Harlan County - Lasix on --> what value do folks put on this? and how much growth can we expect from a 3 year old when they are unarmed as a 2 year old?
Inconclusive - the "6" is very competitive in this field - how should this pattern be interpreted - was the "10" to be expected? Should we expect a forward move here? High weight - morning line 20-1.
Galilea looks to slow - but with only 5 races - and a healthy pattern - should we expect improvement here and if yes - how much?
Taralena - looks like a good pattern w good rest between races - Clement with positive thcropattern numbers - I would expect this horse to run a new top. But we started with a "14" now at "8" - is more growth unrealistic?
Try Your Luck - appears to have most talent in this field - did the "5" hurt her or does she appear to be circling back? She bore out last race - is she likely to go the wrong way? Likely favorite.
Leafy Shade - good rest going in - appears to be too slow.
Shelbysmile - lightly raced, nice pattern - if she improves again - how much growth can we expect? A pair is too slow - but improvement could make her a contender.
Mine as Well - 2nd turf start jumped 7 points - good rest going in - not familiar with trainer but has good thoropattern numbers - should we expect this horse to bounce or is this a live 20-1 shot?
Blame it on Me - another Clement horse with a positive pattern. Joe Bravo on board.
Outsider Art - Jonathon Sheppard sends this horse out for the 7th time since April - top is a "7" 2 races back. Is this a healthy pattern or is a non-effort in the cards here?
Celestial Insight - appears to be too slow.
Mines and Magic - dangerous if draws in - ran a "7" 1st time on turf. Not familiar with trainer.
Quiet Business - another one that appears too slow.
The other big questions to consider here is the distance - 1 5/16 and does the jockey have experience & success at KD.
Sorry for all of the questions and for taking up so much time with this post - if you want to weigh in it would be very much appreciated. Still trying to learn!
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.