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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Question for Mathcapper (1774 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 05, 2018 09:53AM

On Saturday, I was using the DD probables from the prior race to project odds for the BC dirt races. I noticed that the discrepancy between my projected odds and the off odds seemed larger than I'm used to. When I was playing around with projecting odds during the Saratoga meet, the median discrepancy was around 10%. On Saturday, it was almost 20%.

Is that something you have noticed on big days? I'm wondering if it might be a function of pool size, increased casual money, or field size.



Subject Written By Posted
Question for Mathcapper (1774 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2018 09:53AM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (892 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/05/2018 02:19PM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (924 Views) trwhis2 11/05/2018 02:37PM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (884 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/05/2018 04:20PM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (842 Views) Mathcapper 11/07/2018 02:52AM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (670 Views) analizethis 11/07/2018 10:31AM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (677 Views) Mathcapper 11/07/2018 11:56AM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (681 Views) BitPlayer 11/07/2018 02:00PM
Re: Question for Mathcapper (693 Views) Mathcapper 11/07/2018 03:11PM


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