My track record betting Derby preps is pretty bad, but I keep trying. How the track is playing could be a big variable, but three horses interest me in the LeComte:

Malpais - Michael Beychok mentioned this horse on Jason Beem's podcast. He's a little slow on TG, but this is only his third start, and he stretches out to two turns for the first time. Drawn inside and coming out of a sprint, he figures to save ground and possibly be on a clear lead. Pedigree isn't great for routes, and there's the risk of a fast pace, but the price could be there. He's only 12-1 (which I would not take) on the morning line, but 28-1 on Public Handicapper.

Tackett - Also drawn inside, he showed the ability to sit behind horses in his last. He's faster than Malpais, but still a little slower than the fastest ones. Ground loss could make the difference. I like the last pair at two turns, and the second place finisher in his last race (Owendale) came back to run faster (at least according to Beyer) in an allowance race on Thursday. He's 6-1 on the morning line (good enough for me), but only 9-2 on Public Handicapper.

Manny Wah - Last race was very fast relative to these. Was the big new top a result of the cut back to 6 furlongs or the addition of blinkers? The longer distance, outside post, and possible bounce are issues, as is the prospect of a fast pace, but the odds could justify the risk. He's 10-1 on the morning line and 25-1 on Public Handicapper.

I should also mention Hog Creek Hustle. He also ran pretty well in the Sugar Bowl at 6 furlongs, but he looks more like a sprinter to me.