Actually, your points are fairly contradictory to JB's analysis and it is good to see. As pattern and bounce theorists, I think we have been taken out of our game, having been left a little shell shocked by the results of the Derby. Does our handicapping now have to include a fear factor for trainers Lukas and Baffert as we have for Dutrow and Lake? Isn't Proud Citizen a classic bounce? A 7pt. move in 4 weeks; 4th race in 6 weeks; coming in off of a 4pt. new top with just 2 weeks rest? And Table Limit. Isn't the rule of thumb that negative numbers knock horses out. This one lept out of his skin to do it, it was a big negative and he did it on the front end of a sprint!

I know that this kind of "treat suspect extreme caution" landed JB a really nice payday in KY, but does it have to become the norm so soon?



JR