Based on the morning line, Deputy Dash looks like a great value. Sunday Break is the most likely winner but will be over bet if the morning line holds. Fast Decision and Ibn Al Haithmam are two other contenders that may possibly offer some value if they stay at or above their morning line. The rest look like poor plays with the possible exception of Essayons if he floats up significantly above his morning line.

Good luck to all.

Chris

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Horse followed by its "Break-even" odds based on computer model

Fast Decision, 3.6
Sunday Break, 2.4
Deputy Dash, 3.5
Essayons, 13.4
Ibn Al Haitham, 6.7
Fireballer, > 99/1
Heir D' Twine, 27.2
Puzzlement, 49.1

Bonus computer odds-line coverage:

"Break-even" $2 exacta payouts for Deputy Dash with contenders:

Deputy/Fast, $44
Deputy/Sunday, $49
Deputy/Ibn, $51

Fast/Deputy, $47
Sunday/Deputy, $34
Ibn/Deputy, $78

P.S. Notice the seemingly "strange" break-even exacta payouts. That is because although Sunday Break is more likely to win than is Fast Decision, he is actually less likely to run second than is Fast Decision; hence the strange payouts. This is often the case with a favorite. They are seldom good value bets underneath in exactas (or trifectas).