David,

If you believed the answer was number 1 why did you say it was 1 or 2? Surely it's dishonest to imply that Jerry is guilty of something when you don't really believe he is? Once a lawyer, always a lawyer?

And if the answer is 1 - that Jerry has never bothered to test his hypotheses, i.e his figures are based on false assumptions - then would that be so very different from fudging?

Incidentally, the only 'proof' as to whether Jerry is right or wrong is how the figures work as a tool for predicting upcoming races. Jerry believes horses run smooth patterns, Friedman doesn't. An analysis of TG's database is only going to confirm that Jerry's figures fit Jerry's hypotheses. An analysis of the Sheets' database will do the same for their hypotheses. There is no proof, only opinion.

And Jerry obviously doesn't believe his figures are better because if he did he'd 'be all over Ragozin.' Right?