Re: Moving On (1019 Views)
Posted by:
HP (IP Logged)
Date: June 03, 2002 07:50PM
In my mind, the 'change in conditions' (the extra distance) will make the bounce even more likely, provided that's what the pattern indicates. Isn't it harder to run further? More tiring?
I have no doubt War Emblem has the heart and stamina to go 1-1/2 miles, certainly as much as anyone I've seen this year. But the real issue is, can he do it after four huge races in a row, the two of which immediately preceding this one were two weeks apart? With each huge race he runs I think it becomes more likely, unless he gets a freshening.
The real question for me is, even if War Emblem bounces, who will be fast enough to capitalize on this? In this case, I think there will be some candidates, but I will refrain from any further comment until I see the TG. Sign me, firm bounce believer (this time). HP