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Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1142 Views)
Posted by: Jason L. (IP Logged)
Date: June 10, 2002 04:59PM

1. I really don't have a problem with you providing analysis. It takes a long time to become a proficient sheet user and this is obviously a service to some of your customers. I do have a problem with comparing your analsyis to Friedman's, as they are done for different purposes and are irrelevant in any event to the determining the quality of the sheets.

2. I am not saying that $1,000 was not enough for the contest. My point was that unless you spent half your money on the Belmont in the contest, you were unlikely to hit that trifecta. On Belmont day, it was worth spending several hundred dollars to hit that trifecta. (As one who got cheap and shaved a few horses off of the top of my tri, I wish I had bet a little more).

3. I believe you on Sarava. Some Ragozin people did not think he had a positive pattern. I liked it more than others, and thought he had a good shot to hit the board. But many here keep missing the point. The key to that race was not Sarava per se, but in confidently throwing out War Emblem completely and being very negative on Proud Citizen. I will agree that Friedman did not make these comments, but that was my reading of the sheets. That only left about 6 horses who had any chance to finish in the tri, Sarava being one of them. Also, as Sarava was the best value in the race (Perfect Drift ended up being no value), I bet him to win.

4. The ROI comment was lame because, the tri was a $15,000 one. Further, it is a generalization that minimizes the value of the sheets. In some races, you have a strong horse that you bet to win and key in exotics. Those races obviously have the best chance of hitting and certaily a more predictable ROI. Some races, are races like the Belmont where you throw out an even money favorite in an 11 horse field. There, you may bet dozens of races before you hit one. If your only point was that stating that you hit a tax ticket does not mean you made money, then we are agreed.

5. I don't disagree, but it is often also true that the series of efforts is the reason for the excuse. As an owner of a few horses over the years, if a horse is sore, it not unusual to stumble at the start.

6. Well, this debate keeps shifting. I will reiterate that I don't see any point in determining who are better handicapers. We are trying to determine who makes better sheets. By constantly criticizing Ragozin's methodology, you are arguing that his sheets are not a good handicapping tool and yours are better. That is how this contest started. My point is that the Ragozin Sheets did very well that day. I am open to comparing TG's when they are posted. Also, I would be interested in hearing other TG's users big scores on the day and their reasons for playing them, as I really do not know whether Ragozin patterns work the same with Thorograph.



Subject Written By Posted
Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1765 Views) David G. Patent 06/09/2002 03:47AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1071 Views) Jason L. 06/09/2002 05:03AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1194 Views) Anonymous User 06/09/2002 05:32AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1068 Views) Michael D. 06/09/2002 11:47AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1058 Views) HP 06/09/2002 01:32PM
Re: Sherpa Guide. (1098 Views) Mall 06/09/2002 01:48PM
Re: Sherpa Guide. (1069 Views) superfreakicus 06/09/2002 03:32PM
Re: Sherpa Guide. (1068 Views) Mall 06/09/2002 10:01PM
Re: Sherpa Guide. (1028 Views) Alydar in California 06/09/2002 11:14PM
re: a line too long to fit here (HP) (1095 Views) superfreakicus 06/10/2002 04:19AM
The game, not the contest. (1119 Views) Mall 06/10/2002 06:29AM
and what are we talkin' about..... (1125 Views) superfreakicus 06/10/2002 04:57PM
Re: and what are we talkin' about..... (1156 Views) HP 06/10/2002 05:11PM
Re: and what are we talkin' about..... (1073 Views) HP 06/10/2002 05:11PM
Post Them Signers (1155 Views) Anonymous User 06/09/2002 01:23PM
Re: Post Them Signers (1079 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/09/2002 03:26PM
Re: Post Them Signers (1118 Views) HP 06/09/2002 03:50PM
HyPocritical (1024 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/09/2002 04:37PM
Re: HyPocritical (1098 Views) HP 06/09/2002 04:54PM
Typical (1078 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/09/2002 05:01PM
Acorn? (1069 Views) Anonymous User 06/09/2002 11:44PM
Re: Acorn? (1011 Views) Anonymous User 06/09/2002 11:48PM
Re: Acorn? (1159 Views) TGJB 06/10/2002 04:15PM
Re: sheets vs. tg (1090 Views) superfreakicus 06/09/2002 03:51PM
Re: sheets vs. tg (1124 Views) HP 06/09/2002 03:54PM
Re: sheets vs. tg (1081 Views) tegger 06/09/2002 04:33PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1014 Views) TGJB 06/09/2002 06:54PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1104 Views) superfreakicus 06/09/2002 07:13PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (979 Views) Michael D. 06/09/2002 09:32PM
Re: the battle of Saratoga (1175 Views) superfreakicus 06/10/2002 01:55AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1154 Views) Alydar in California 06/09/2002 09:55PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1148 Views) Jason L. 06/10/2002 04:26AM
Nunzio, Superfreak, Jason L., class and the lessons learned (1237 Views) HP 06/10/2002 12:17PM
Re: Nunzio, Superfreak, Jason L., HP, class and the lessons learned (1060 Views) superfreakicus 06/10/2002 05:20PM
Re: I thought you were leaving? HP (1153 Views) superfreakicus 06/10/2002 05:26PM
Belmont Recap (1067 Views) David Patent 06/10/2002 06:30PM
Re: Belmont Recap (1121 Views) David Patent 06/10/2002 06:46PM
Re: Belmont Recap (1185 Views) HP 06/10/2002 07:08PM
Re: Nunzio, Superfreak, Jason L., HP, class and the lessons learned (1186 Views) HP 06/10/2002 06:11PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1113 Views) Michael D. 06/10/2002 03:18PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1005 Views) TGJB 06/10/2002 04:13PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1142 Views) Jason L. 06/10/2002 04:59PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1149 Views) TGJB 06/10/2002 06:57PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1098 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/10/2002 07:30PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1042 Views) TGJB 06/10/2002 08:39PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1015 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/10/2002 09:25PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1116 Views) TGJB 06/11/2002 04:13PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1117 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/11/2002 06:27PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (978 Views) TGJB 06/11/2002 07:12PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1099 Views) Jerry Jr. 06/11/2002 08:14PM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1057 Views) ed overdyk 06/11/2002 12:22AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1024 Views) Jason L. 06/11/2002 01:07AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1110 Views) David G. Patent 06/11/2002 03:19AM
Re: Congrats HP, but I'll take real money anytime (1084 Views) HP 06/11/2002 04:48PM


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