1- I've dealt with this so many times I'm sick of it. The problem is that he doesn't take a definitive stand beforehand, but declares victory afterward (like in Ragozin's book), and is declared victorious by others. In any event, this is a straw man--we weren't talking about that comparison.

2- Who said he had to hit the tri? He couldn't have found a way to make money on the race with a small bet if he liked that horse? At 70-1, the play is cheap.

3- Congratulations.

4- My comment about ROI was neither lame nor about a $15,000 tri. It was about Patent's claim he hit 4 signers, and it involves betting strategy--it has nothing to do with handicapping. Like I said, I hit the Pick Six yesterday--and lost money.

5- We don't disagree.

6- See my lengthy response to your other post (Figure Making Methodology II) and we'll both look at both Belmont sheets when posted, especially at the numbers everyone ran that day. I have no idea who the results favor, other than Sarava, whom I saw in the Rag Preakness sheets, and we do look better there. But that's not the point I've been trying to make, both after the B.C. and Preakness (I forgot to do it after the Derby). The point is to look at trends of figure making--circuit vs. circuit, short/long, changing days, etc., and discuss them.



TGJB