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What About The Figures? (1299 Views)
Posted by: Mall (IP Logged)
Date: June 09, 2002 01:31PM

I used both to handicap the 1st 9 races on Sat's card & made 3 serious bets. Realizing that it's opinion to a certain extent, but trying to be as objective as possible, this is how I saw it:

1. Draw. Bel B looked about the same on both.

2. Draw. Winner was not a sheets play, although I noticed that Rags did not pick up on the fact that Brightest Ice was gelded between races. I wish I hadn't either.

3. Clear Advantage TG. 34-1 Sherpa Guide showed a fwd moving line with competitive nos on TG & was an 0-2 which looked too slw on Rags.

4. Draw. Too Scarlet was slower on Rags but was playable on both.

5. Draw. 29-1 Judge Case was playable on both.

6. Draw. 2-1 Explicit was not a great play on either, depending on how you viewed his last race.

7. Draw. Babae was a very strong play on both, particularly at 3-1. 2n place finisher Tates Creek looked better on TG but did not make sense at the price IMHO.

8. Draw. This one is tricky because it depends on how much blind faith you have in the bounce theory as it applies to a race like this. I have very little & I thought Gygistar was a stickout at 4-1 on both, given that YG looked like a toss on both. However, Gyg looked less likely to bounce on Rags.

9. Clear Advantage TG. BH looked like a stickout on TG, even at the low odds, while (as Tabi pted out) Rags had him regressing in his last, a G1 win. Hap looked best on Rags. Both had 7 yr old WA as a strong bounce candidate, putting the kabosh on my latest exception involving a particular 7 yr old trained by a Hall of Famer who hasn't bounced despite many sheet players' predictions over a 2 yr period.

When I did this at Kee for 75 races it seemed a lot easier & less time consuming & the differences were a lot more dramatic. While I still think an extended trial would be worthwhile, it's going to be a lot more difficult than I originally thought.



though many



Subject Written By Posted
What About The Figures? (1299 Views) Mall 06/09/2002 01:31PM
Re: What About The Figures? (802 Views) bdhsheets 06/14/2002 07:47AM
Re: 8 (822 Views) superfreakicus 06/14/2002 04:09PM
Re: 8 (828 Views) HP 06/14/2002 05:13PM
Raggie Dave. Somebody's Fool. (881 Views) Mall 06/14/2002 06:07PM
Re: Mall (839 Views) superfreakicus 06/15/2002 03:29AM
Raggie Dave Hits Pk 9.No Carryover. (826 Views) Mall 06/15/2002 10:26AM
Re: Raggie Dave Hits Pk 9.No Carryover. (891 Views) superfreakicus 06/15/2002 01:39PM
Re: Raggie Dave Hits Pk 9.No Carryover. (838 Views) Mall 06/15/2002 03:06PM
Re: the belmont card (803 Views) superfreakicus 06/17/2002 04:35PM
Re: the belmont card (888 Views) TGJB 06/17/2002 05:05PM
Fair Enough JB, But Isn't It Time For The Hook? (821 Views) Mall 06/17/2002 07:47PM
Re: Fair Enough JB, But Isn't It Time For The Hook? (874 Views) HP 06/17/2002 07:59PM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (820 Views) superfreakicus 06/18/2002 05:34AM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (773 Views) HP 06/18/2002 11:17AM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (833 Views) superfreakicus 06/18/2002 01:08PM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (804 Views) HP 06/18/2002 02:05PM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (892 Views) TGJB 06/18/2002 04:44PM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (892 Views) superfreakicus 06/18/2002 05:20PM
Re: a wishy washy bunch (860 Views) TGJB 06/18/2002 05:50PM
Re: less consumed by rage (866 Views) superfreakicus 06/19/2002 05:34AM
Re: Raggie Dave Hits Pk 9.No Carryover. (804 Views) teekay 06/17/2002 10:25PM


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