Given that he has won 6 of 7 & has never bounced, given his versatile running style & a very favorable pace scenario, given that his dam has produced 3 other stakes winners, given the fact that he is very lightly raced, given that he is getting 6 & 5lbs from C & SC, I disagree with the assessment that for some reason today is the day Tenpins bounces. There's a chance of that of course, but at 8-1 or higher it's a chance well worth taking, particularly if you're looking for value under St Cry. I hate to go against the champ, but unless he gets loose on the lead & improves dramatically, Congaree is only about 10-1 to win this contest, & a logical toss in the exacta & maybe even the tri. StC is fair odds at 3-1 & looks good over Tenpins, Connected, & $Bill. At the same time, it's not a race to go overboard on, as the 4,5,6,9 & 11 look to be better opportunities in a pretty solid card.