Jerry,

Do you really believe that one can be a successful bettor and not be able accurately to rank which horses are more likely to win than others?

It's easy to take one extreme example to dispute a statement. If every race was full of one 3:5 shot and a bunch of 20:1 shots your statement would hold water, but over the long run, day in and day out we are faced with many subtle 'calls' to make on horses and whoever does a better job at ranking the horses will have an edge -- an edge that can definitely be overcome by superior quantification of the edge and wagering -- but an edge nonetheless. Do you really disagree with this? Is this skill not a foundational skill upon which the other key success skills rely?

A reminder: this contest is not about ROI and was not intended to be about ROI.