I was going to let this drop for 2 reasons--first, I posted after the race, and it's easy to cherry pick spots where your product looks good (Friedman does it all the time, or at least when he can find good examples), and second, because I don't know what our handicapper was thinking.

But since you brought it up:

On Ragozin, two horses were co-fastest, and much faster than anyone else--the winner, and the Dickenson horse, who was 7/5 and finished up the track. On TG, there were also 2 horses who were much faster than anyone else--the winner and second horse. On Ragozin, the Dickenson horse was 4 points faster than the second finisher. On TG, the second finisher was 2 1/2 points faster--a net difference of 6 1/2 points.

Again, I don't especially like red boarding (although sometimes I'll do it with high-profile races), but if you want to pursue this we'll post the sheets for the race.



TGJB