On the Coaching Club American Oaks - At a glance, I like Tarnished Lady. It's true that she hasn't got back to that (dirt) top, but the races since then were an expected bounce on dirt on a short break and then three on grass, the last two of which were on good and yielding surfaces. The pattern off the top was good too, with the bounce, a slight improvement and a return to her better form before the last race, which was wishy-washy.

So I like TL back on dirt at the price, especially since the fastest horse should bounce and Chamwhatever will be about 2-1 and is hardly overwhelming by comparison. As Michael D. says you have to be an expert before the race, so I'm taking my shot.

BTW Michael, with Grundlefoot (I used him on the now infamous Preakness Day), figure in the weight AND the ground loss and he could run his race and lose easy. Good luck to all. HP