Siphonic- a mile and a quarter unlikely

Harlan's Holiday- can win the Blue Grass, and could wind up a brilliant miler, but this horse will not be charging down the lane on derby day... not a chance.

Came Home- see Siphonic.

Repent- a smooth change of leads after Bailey makes him run a solid first mile is extremely unlikely. (I do concede to him the Illinois Derby however)

Johannesburg- will not even finish the race.

Mayakovsky- see Johannesburgh

Sunday Break- better chance than the others, but unseasoned, wait for the fall.

By default, I'm leaning towards Saarland, the slowest thorograph horse of them all. At least we know he is getting the mile and a quarter.