SA Derby - ROTW (1909 Views)
Posted by:
Treadhead (IP Logged)
Date: April 05, 2002 04:08PM
Wow, I am really surprised at the number USST ran last out, didn't realize it was that big a race for him. The ROTW looks pretty haphazard since all the good horses will likely bounce, but I do hope that one of the speed horses holds off USST to keep him at good odds for the Derby.
Also, a comment about the analysis. The comment about Thunder Gulch being the ONLY horse to run a big number in Feb and run back to it in the derby is a little misleading. Monarchos ran a zero in the first week of March last year, bounced, and ran back in the derby. Same idea as TGulch, does it really make a difference that it was a week after Feb?
Throw IInk into the mix and you have another horse that ran big in the winter, bounced in spring, and ran back in the derby. I don't see the relevance of saying you are only looking at big races run in Feb. When you look at it from this perspective, 2 of the last 7 winners followed this pattern, along with a place horse who paid a $50 mutuel (which is better than picking a $20 winner in my book).