Ilinois Derby (1848 Views)
Posted by:
Mark O'Keeffe (IP Logged)
Date: April 06, 2002 09:31AM
This is a very interesting race. Lots of talk about inside speed bias, War Emblem as the lone speed, blah, blah blah.
I think very few of the connections in this race even have a clue. Look at the musical jockeys. Sterling off Secret Command to ride War Emblem? Jaurez off War Emblem to ride Fonz's? Chavez off and Walls back on Changein the weather who must carry equal weight with Repent? Blinkers on Peekskill?
Now look at those with a clue. One Tuff Fox off a month rest, 2 monster works at Sportsmans, gets 10 pounds from Repent, the rail and a very hot Eddie Martin for a very good trainer in R Dutrow. Horse also drops 5 lbs off a very impressive FG win. Repent, who will win the Kentucky Derby, is the only other horse with a shot to win here. Post 10 sucks, but he is better than these, has Bailey and won't be worse than 2nd. Box Repent and One Tuff Fox. Bet OTF to win at 5-1 or higher. Safe trip.
Mark