As has been covered in several earlier posts regarding the Derby Future Book, 2yos that have run sub-6 figs TG figs in recent years have not gone on to run well in the Derby. Most (e.g., Repent and Siphonic) never even get to the Derby but even those that do manage to make it to the race don't usually fare well (e.g., Came Home and Harlan's Holiday). The sample size is still relatively small but growing and the trend continues to hold. I will wait until the preps are over and the entries are drawn to settle on my Derby picks but my money will definitely be on a horse that showed decent development at 2 (but not too much) and has a solid foundation of 3yo preps, a nice, consistent forward moving line,"Derby" breeding, and proven ability to come from off the pace. The list of possibilites is shrinking but there are still some "live" candidates that closed at high odds in Future Book 3.

Good luck to all.

Chris