Re: Handicapping first time starters (937 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: May 17, 2018 01:30PM
I'd like to add one more angle to Dana's list and lucrative as recently as Race #4? on [s]Ky Derby day[/s] last Saturday @ Bel.
In that case, a turf route, a full field of experienced maidens. Most had run three or more times some many more times. A very few had previously run competively. So in effect a bunch of losers. One of the two first time starters won @ 20/1.
In this case taking a chance on an unknown vs believing none of the veterans was capable. The favorite ran second beaten about four lengths.