I must say first that I do pick up some good pointers from time to time on the site. I am not big on spending the cash for the figs. I found out after buying them for a couple of years and being a casual player they are not worth it. You get too caught up speed and not handicapping other important variables and angles. I pretty much see what you guys see for a lot less with other less expensive speed figs. Let face it guys, everyone has them. I only buy them for real big events like the Derby. Anyway, enough of that. I see a different Derby than last year when only two horses could win, Point Given and Monarchos. I am still searching for the value horse. Last year the value was Invisible Ink. Maybe Saarland this year. In my opinion Shug is just getting this horse ready to peak May 4. And remember the lesson all of you chalk lovers learned last year. Look for value not who you think is going to win.