Re: The Kaintuckee Derby (1321 Views)
Posted by:
Treadhead (IP Logged)
Date: April 22, 2002 11:04AM
Request for Parole is a big question mark for me also. All reports I've heard is that he was completely wiped out after the Spiral, not eating properly, etc. It took him over a week to get back normal. This is why they passed on the Bluegrass. That, coupled with his running style, leads to believe he will not make the super on Derby Day. But on paper, his line does look pretty good.
I am still not convinced there is serious early speed in this race. Last year we had Balto Star, Songandaprayer, and Millenium Wind all who regularly ran BRIS E1 and E2 pace figures near 110. Thats why you saw a half in 46 last year. That type of horse does not exist this year, in fact the only contender to average E1 over 100 is War Emblem (Booklet is out, right?).
I also don't buy the comment about Dubai horses "running their top" in the derby. You have nothing to compare it to, really, for the the previous dubai horses. Of those who did have previous TG numbers, there were only a couple 2yr old numbers. For the most part, dubai horses do not have TGs for many of their races, so how can you call anything a top?
And to Jim, you talk about how great the sheets are doing this spring, yet you talk about the Derby in terms of Ragozin numbers. Now I see the reason for Jerry's skepticism. I really don't care what the Ragozin numbers look like, but I love hearing a good debate and I bet Jerry would like to talk more about which horses look different. So how about sharing those ragozin numbers, specifically I'm interested in how HarlanHoliday, Buddah, MedagDoro, Saarland, and Perfect Drift look.