LGNB,

I'm glad you're back on the derby. I do find it scary and somewhat worrysome that it seems like everyone is mentioning the same horses (are we simply just convincing each other and patting ourselves on the back?). at the prices offered, saarland, perfect drift and essence are the three runners I'm most interested too win-wise (in that order). the post won't matter that much because of their style, so I've been shopping around with a cool head.

Exotic wise, subject to making a call on harlans, in my opinion those 3 and any wood non-regressers will fill the top 2 spots. Unfortunately if sunday break makes it in, that's 6 horses - before harlans. the problem with tossing the wood contenders is that the one that does not regress will screw you (as has been pointed out before this can and has happened recently - e.g. charismatic non bounce, monarchos/inky looping back etc etc). At the prices, I'll go against all of them on the win but I'm not going to have saarland get beat by medaglia and leave empty handed. In this context I don't care too much about the wood figure debate, you can make a case for regression for the wood big 3 on both set of numbers (maybe more bouncy on rags but I would not want to make a case for buddha and sunday break on TG numbers either. maybe on TG medaglia has one more pair-up (RFP tripled didn't he), but then again the seasoning comes into play too).

came home is a bet against for me - no way in top two. harlans is a slight negative call right now (regressing perhaps, who has he beaten of any note?, the bg was so-so, unless you're biased in which case you liked it even though it was slow, it took him a furlong to get past booklet and prado hit him 7 times), but I concede that there is a chance he will fire - 10 days for me to decide, professional help will help here. After all if the wood big 3 regress, came home and jo'burg don't last, this derby won't take much winning.







Excitable Boy wrote:
>
> The fact that I even acknowledge you is what I apologized for
> and am apologizing for. I'm still awaiting your email debate.
> But I guess you feel you garner more attention here. I found
> your last post to JB interesting. You seemed so genuine in
> caring about his well-being. Perhaps YOU should take the 1st
> step and admit YOUR problem. Then YOU can start to heal. And
> isn't that what this is all about = your self-esteem. So low.
> Oh so low. Poor guy.
>
> It would be nice if you would stop the name calling. And how
> about some consistency to your comments? Oh, that's
> impossible for you; I forgot you're a raggie.
>
> Although I suspect you may be that guy from California who
> made is own numbers and always told us which group of horses
> was gonna win.
>
> Feel free to post and the rag site. Did they censor you too
> many times over there?
>
> As for the Derby, I've already cited I think Saarland has a
> legitimate shot. Particularly since the surgery. Perfect
> Drift looks to included in my exotics. Essence of Dubai might
> get in there too.
>
> I can't see putting Harlan's at the top of the list or Came
> Home.
>
> It's time now to see how they all work up to the race and
> fill out.
>
>