In my original analysis, I mentioned who I thought belonged at the top of the list. Now I'd like to point out some of the horses I don't like and why. Some of these may not go - if you already know that to be the case, my apologies.

Ocean Sound - way too slow, ran a nice race on the turf, sprinting, in his 3YO debut though

Wild Horses - also too slow, don't think he can make a big enough move next time out

Came Home - don't like him for the Derby, but he could become an exceptional sprinter/miler

Sunday Break - should bounce to the moon, but I hope he runs a decent race and the last one didn't knock him out because I like him and think he'll be a really nice stakes horse

War Emblem - think he'll bounce, ran to one of my favorite patterns last out when he equaled his 2YO number the race before...you just knew he'd be poised for a big effort in the IL Derby

Straight Gin - too slow and don't see him making a big enough move forward next out

Saarland - think will bounce and one of those that seems to run wide every time...he has a chance, but won't have my money on him for the top two spots

Holdthehelm - doesn't belong, very slow

Proud Citizen - don't know his last number, but I won't like him no matter what it is

Lusty Latin - not fast enough in my opinion


These will probably come back to bite me in the butt, but that's what this is all about, right?