Re: Derby Picture (543 Views)
Posted by:
Michael D. (IP Logged)
Date: April 13, 2014 12:13PM
jimbo66 Wrote:
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> will disagree with that.
>
> Bayern ran like a short horse. He was seemingly
> "put away" by a lousy longshot, then found a bit
> more run in the stretch. Don't think the distance
> was the problem. Either not as good as some
> thought or a short horse. Take your pick.
if "found a bit more run" means slowing down, then I agree with you. a :13.1 final 1/8 with the place horse cruising right on by.
but sure, Bayern could have been a short horse. Baffert was behind schedule. but a short horse that would probably be running in the Ky Derby (for better or worse) if the Ark Derby had been an 1/8 or even 1/16 shorter.
either way, he's a May foal that should have some pretty good development left (and the pedigree for distance is there).
> Tread,
>
> You keep saying "a bunch about the same on
> figures", and this is the thorograph board, but so
> I guess that is in accurate statement in the
> context of where you are posting it, but in
> "performance" on track, this is not even close.
>
> Any fool that thinks that General A-Rod is as
> faster or faster than California Chrome shouldn't
> be playing this game, I don't care what the TG
> figure is.
>
> I am not necessarily saying TGJB has the figures
> wrong, but you have to assess the performance
> holistically. PHony ground loss that isn't
> relevant in the way the race was run will inflate
> a figure. Running with or against a bias affects
> a performance but isn't part of the figure.
> Pressing a pace will affect a figure. Lots of
> factors.
>
> There is no way that anybody out there is in the
> same league as California Chrome right now.
>
> That doesn't mean he has to translate that form to
> Churchill or at 1 1/4. But he is the best right
> now. Period. There is no "bunch of horses at the
> same ability".