Re: Derby Picture (467 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: April 13, 2014 04:19PM
Contrarian - Minority Report:
Since you don't want to get into Bayern, I will. First of all (IMO) he is a legit immature race horse as is Social Inclusion. One or both to make noise later this season.
Secondly, he was beaten by two legitimate TC contenders. The Arkansas Derby was a key prep. One or both of the first two finishers will be in the trifecta @ CD. No bets please (I don't need the money) and my ego left a while ago with my testosterone.
Timeform has Wicked Strong (Wood) faster than California Chrome (SAD), and their number incorporates pace. But speed figures are just a part of the puzzle as other minority reporters have previously posted. However, when viewing the Kentucky Derby I think STAMINA is most important and trip crucial.
Therefore, I can toss all the Tapits and several other short winded sires (I mean dams) leaving only the proven and possible pedigrees/jockeys. Since we have a group of horses not dissimilar in #'s we will need to rely on the superb pattern reads of the TG gang and pedigree speculation.
Oh if only it was as simple as choosing the smallest #!
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