Re: Illinois Derby (823 Views)
Posted by:
TreadHead (IP Logged)
Date: April 18, 2014 04:35PM
Yep, several things wrong with the comparisons.
The only reason we've gotten into those discussions is due to the extremely tight grouping of the ability of several horses, and attempts to separate them on some sort of criteria.
When youre Big Brown and 4pts faster than everyone already, then it doesn't really matter much.
The other issue is (and I absolutely never play Hawthorne and have no idea what its reputation is like) that BRIS is showing me that out of 91 route races this meet that 31% (!!) are won in wire to wire fashion, so I would have to question whether or not you are really seeing much of a surface change there.