Re: Illinois Derby (650 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: April 19, 2014 10:42PM
Jimbo,
Well, I think he (MH) was unlucky to lose. But thank goodness he did! Luck of the Irish.
Won't help Chitu's price but encourages me on his chances. TGJB estimates another 3, the effort surprised me.
Mostly, what I take away is that the appearance of a race can be misleading. A runaway winner can be a mediocre effort outrunning slow horses. Or, a great effort outrunning mediocre horses.
Trust the number not the race appearance. There will be big derby value if one of the artificial surface horses could step up?
I doubt we'll see anymore good chances to make money on a race with MH in it. I think BB will shorten him up and I don't want to try and beat him again.