Re: Illinois Derby (672 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: April 20, 2014 01:56AM
As a Midnight Hawk doubter, I thought he would run worse than he did Sat. Jimbo had mentioned (in an earlier post) that he would upgrade Chitu if Midnight Hawk ran impressively. Chitu, as you must be aware, has been outrunning Midnight Hawk.
So some have uncertainty about the Sunland #'s. That race and those #'s are important in evaluating Chitu. who is lightly raced. Since Midnight Hawk did not embarrass himself @ Haw. Chitu is not embarrassed by association.
Since I now have less doubt about Chitu #'s, I expect that opinion to be shared by others. Less doubt (more confidence) may translate to a shorter price in the derby.
Losing @ 2/5 proves he had a [u]whole lot[/u] more supporters than detracters. Jimbo & JBelfior & I may have been the only ones! Yet, if your point is that the two horses had so few doubters that any change in opinion would be irrelevant to derby prices - looks like you are right.