Candy Boy's sheet #s are slower than all of the major contenders (I can't see his SA Derby # being anything other than more of the same 5 territory with the December top the only cause for the most ardent supporters to think he can get in winning # territory and that's only if he progresses which I don't think his pattern suggests he has so far this year.). He'll have to jump up 2-3 points just to hit the board. So unless the better away from California theory proves right and he becomes a new horse in Louisville, he looks like an also-ran.