Re: A couple of early thoughts about Derby (817 Views)
Posted by:
mbeychok (IP Logged)
Date: April 21, 2014 08:51AM
I looked at the early Thorograph sheets. A lot of question marks in there, seemingly more than in many years. One question though that is easy to answer, at least for me - CC is not the fastest horse. And, there is no way I can see him running a top in the Derby, the ship, the breeding, the number of races so far. He might win but he will win without me for sure. (this declaration just made him the easy winner of course) Other question is if a certain horse can pair his top he looks like a very likely winner at a nice price.
My question for the board is what to make of Intense Holiday. I really like his races visually - as he is one of the few horses in the field to have an established running style of presser/closer - although in the LA DERBY the jock had him a bit close. But, he closed into the slow pace and then fell apart.
With his pattern, what do you guys expect?
One final thought, I think this year more than ever, I will pay extra close attention to how a horse works at CD and looks as compared to how they looked over the winter - where comparisons can be made. Very imp't to catch the improving horses in flesh and coat vs. those that have tipped over. Good reading and good luck to everyone.
PS. I do have a horse in the OAKS who I love at a price if she can get in.