Re: A couple of early thoughts about Derby (527 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: April 21, 2014 11:51PM
MBeychok,
regards - Intense Holiday
My thinking is I can not remember a horse who raced oddly (noteworthy aberrant, demonstrated irrational behavior), beat themselves, and then came back to jump up in their next.
I have played a number of them, using the excuse they were green or mis-ridden, poor return on investment. I'll side with Covello on this one something could be rotten in Denmark. Maybe the horse was just frightened by sound or bird? But I'd want to know what happened?
Bottom Line we have enough doubt about the ones coming in off understandable trips. His [b]current price[/b] is [b]seductive[/b]! Harlan? Certainly not impossible and more than a couple will use him under in the verticals. IMO, The artificial surface winners with be ignored for less valid reasons like - the unpopularity of the surface and making comparisons is confusing. Both horses had something to like in their last finishes and that is what's key to me stretching out.
Good luck, you'll figure it out! After all, you are a world champion handicapper and video star! Use your edge.