Re: Archive study on horses that have run 3 pt or more tops in final derby preps (967 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: April 21, 2014 01:11PM
What we're looking for here is how horses ran in the Derby relative to their previous route best, whether there's correlation with their (supposed or real) genetic propensity to go further than they previously have. I haven't got time to do this myself, if you guys don't over the next couple of days I'll see whether Al wants to.
Another thing someone could look at is whether horses who ran their previous top at 1 1/8th were more likely to run well in the Derby vs. those who ran it at shorter distances, but that gets complicated simply because the most recent prep is usually the longest.