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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Re: Dance With Fate (683 Views)
Posted by: richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: April 23, 2014 02:55AM

SoCal:

Since you have done an admirable job making a case for this one, let me present some
negatives.

1) Comes back in 3 weeks after moving forward significantly in his final prep
(trying to protect proprietary data here) (same could be said for Danza). Is it
better to peak in the penultimate prep a la CC, GAR, Hopper and Intense Holiday?

2) Owners/trainers were not originally pointing for the Derby. (This could also
be seen as a positive, that the colt's post Blue Grass demeanor caused
owner/trainer to reevaluate and enter). Disagree with Louisville Guy here -- DWF
has the points and has run at least one # which makes him competitive, deserves a
chance to roll the dice.

Another owner trainer dynamic which has been discussed is with Chitu, now pointed
for the Derby Trial, yet not eliminated from Derby consideration. My feeling is
that if Chitu dominates the Derby Trial, it might be hard for Baffert to resist
(and the owner might insist) that Chitu wheel right back in one week. Or maybe
Chitu is just a placeholder for Bayern, or is being pointed to the Preakness.

Updated "Horizontal Herd": CC, Saaamraaat, Danza, Intense Holiday, Hoppertunity.


Already eliminated: We Miss Artie.

Newly eliminated: Wildcat Red. Looking at TG's sire profile of D'Wildcat,
extremely difficult for me to imagine this one is a factor in the late stages of
the Derby.



Subject Written By Posted
Dance With Fate (1085 Views) SoCalMan2 04/23/2014 01:13AM
Re: Dance With Fate (777 Views) louisvilleguy1111 04/23/2014 01:39AM
Re: Dance With Fate (710 Views) Tavasco 04/23/2014 03:37AM
Re: Dance With Fate (660 Views) richiebee 04/23/2014 12:34PM
Re: Dance With Fate (683 Views) richiebee 04/23/2014 02:55AM
Re: Dance With Fate (755 Views) Wrongly 04/23/2014 07:52AM
Re: Dance With Fate (657 Views) richiebee 04/23/2014 08:34AM
Re: Dance With Fate (672 Views) moosepalm 04/23/2014 09:04AM
Re: Dance With Fate (679 Views) boston 04/23/2014 10:16AM
Re: Dance With Fate (627 Views) kmart4503 04/25/2014 03:09PM


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