Re: Wicked Strong (807 Views)
Posted by:
jbrown007 (IP Logged)
Date: April 26, 2014 04:24PM
Jim I agree with your logic on horses running faster as the distance gets longer as a way to evaluate a "true distance horse" but I am positive you will be very disappointed if you think California Chrome will not hit the board for a few reasons.
A) four horses have ran back to back beyers of 105 going into derby since 2003. Smarty-winner big brown-winner empire maker-second. California chrome. Those horses faired pretty well
B) it's kind of hard to gauge California's true speed figure/thoro # and if he is truly improving when he is getting physically restrained before the race is over.His last to races have been cupcakes. We don't know his true potential. He is closing sub 13 while being restraint.
Let's not forget his bad break in last race and the way he responded.
C) most importantly California has the tactical speed to get the ideal trip to match his top figures. Trips similar to Brown, Barbaro, Smarty , pletchers horse who won a few years ago. I always think people are crazy to use horses without much tactical speed as their key horse when there are so many issues that could happen in the derby when you have to pass 10 horses.
Whether he wins or not there is no doubt California chrome is the key horse atb and hope a bomb beats him.
Just another mans opinion. Good luck