Re: Wicked Strong (827 Views)
Posted by:
jbrown007 (IP Logged)
Date: April 26, 2014 05:13PM
I think that you read my post and focused solely on BEYER speed figure and nothing else.
Thorograph numbers are hands down the absolute best tool in every day handicapping.
The Kentucky derby is a different animal and to disregard other figures is a major mistake. Tgjb always mentions in his derby seminar who is the most likely to pair up there top number in the 20 horse field and that is the absolute most important factor in figuring out the derby winner. The easiest way to pair up a number is to get a similar trip and that is highly unlikely for horses that may have to go 4-8 wide and go extra distance etc. Chrome may not be running negatives on the thorograph but he is very likely to get an ideal trip.
You also mentioned his numbers aren't the fastest which is fine but what is your explanation on his poor break and being pulled up before finish line. Do you not factor that into your handicapping? It 100% effects all figures including thoro/beyer. Correct me if I'm wrong