Re: Wicked Strong (615 Views)
Posted by:
P-Dub (IP Logged)
Date: April 27, 2014 02:36PM
richiebee Wrote:
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> I am leaning to excluding WS from the Horizontal
> Derby Herd.
>
> Isn't WS what some would call a "one number"
> horse? All of the attention on
> this colt is based on his Wood win/big new top.
> None of his other 5 lifetime
> races would give him a chance to be in the top 12
> in this Derby field. Hard
> for me to take this one as a second favorite.
>
> WS 10/63/63/11/7/neg 1/??
> IH 82/63/63/62/62/neg 02/2
>
> Kapeech? yes its two individual runners trained by
> different individuals, but
> would not be surprised if WS retreated a couple of
> TG points in the Derby,
> much the way that IH regressed after his big
> forward move in the Risen Star.
>
> Yes the Wood # was big. Yes WS seems to have come
> out of the race well. No
> there is nothing on WS TG sheet that gives me any
> confidence in WS as the
> second fave, nothing that makes me feel he repeats
> the Wood performance.
>
> We Miss Artie update: Worked so sharply this AM
> TAP considering trying to
> talk Ramsey out of running WMA in the Derby. Good
> luck with that!
Do you give any credence to the various reasons why he didn't run better previously?? I believe JC mentioned this. Or, does the big jump up make that point moot? The pattern, regardless of why he ran poorly, screams regression.
And, is it possible he regresses a bit and still wins??
P-Dub