Arlington Thursday race 8 (1101 Views)
Posted by:
dodie (IP Logged)
Date: September 04, 2014 11:16AM
OK boys, Delmar and 'toga are over. Let's do a little pre-weekend 'cappin' and see what we come up with. I got da sheets for the 8th at AP, a 'lil starter allowance on the toif atta mile. Bottom line:
8 Hapman is a 9yo last out winner 3rd off a layoff for Charles Livesy, 23 26 39 8.04 the last 90 days. Dats hittin'@ 26% with 23 starters for an ROI of 8!!! Dude is hittin' only 9% 3rd LO, but @ 6/1 I'll take my shot. horse has run 3 off top and 1 off top, but I'm hopin' he'll once again mow 'em down in da stretch. There's a little speed signed up widda 4,7,10 11, 12, so I hope da pace is there.
6 Dynamic Royal, 7/2 ML is the most likely winner, but at the prices I'm gonna take a shot with 'Hap. Me & Dynamic Royal have a bit of history. Specifically, going into the Breeder's Cup Betting Challenge monthly final on 25 May. Top 6 get entries into the bettin' challenge at SA, and I'm actually in the runnin' after hittn' with 3/1 shot Natalie Victoria in the 11th at Mth. I figure I need about $20 to make it in the top 6. My prime play at AP in the 8th and final race contest is 3/1; not enough. I'm playin' at the racebook at Green Valley and I hop on the trusty Iphone, change my bet to my 3rd choice Dynamic Royal who's sittin' at 6/1, and hope for the best. Israel saves all the ground, weaves between horses, and gets up for a one length victory. Check out the results at bcqulify.com for 25 May. I'm John D. from Henderson, NV. I actually finished 5th.
Round out your exotics with the 1,3,2,4,5, in that order of preference.
Using BRIS PP's, here are my other picks:
*R1: key the 1 in multi races; save a 'lil widda 3.
R2: 3 2 6 5 not a good bettin' race
*R3: key the 6 then 4 in multi races. Fill ur exotics out with the 3 then 5.
R4: 5 4 over the 7 3. not a good betting race.
R5: 5 2 1 4 ; not a good betting race.
*R6: 4 3 9 2 1; focus on the 3 @ 20/1 ML and da 9 @ 15/1 ML and da 4 @ 8/1 ML fur shizzle.
R7: 1 2 5 7; bottom of exotics- 6 3 4. Wager at your bankroll's peril.
R8: 8 6; 1 3 2 4 5 in ur exotics
R9: 1 8 2 5 7; toss the 6 in the bottm of ur exotics; BET AGAINST DA 3!
Any board guys gonna be at the bettin' challenge? You makin' the trip, JB? What kinda sweet deal you gonna give us on the sheets for BC? ;-)
Do die