Here's my novice analysis -

Rider Seven - has 2 big numbers last year but based on the last 4 turf efforts too slow to compete here.

Trade Storm - should run another 2 like he did last year at woodbine. Very consistent sort may get 3 rd or 4th

Ancil - has 2 isolated numbers that could win here but form is off. not for me.

Silver Freak - started racing in his 4 yo season jumped to big # last effort like many of Lynch's runners. 1st stakes test may be a little stretch today but could be used in exotics at the price.

Kaigun - consistent numbers but not fast enough to win this. a play against for me. Could get a piece but i will exclude from all exotics.

Dorsett - new horse since moving to Lynch barn this year. last number could set him back, has 5 weeks and a pair is not out of the question. that may be enough here. i will key dorsett as the price is worth the risk.

Lockout - nice pattern but has never run fast enough to compete here. Needs another jump up.

Bobby Kitten - another to use at the price. Has 4 months since the big number and i expect him to give a good run today, i will exclude the bad number as the distance was too far for him.

Jack Milton - the horse to beat. last 3 numbers could win this. Has plenty of time since the big number and if that number is coming again it should be today. Disappointed in his last race as I expected a forward move. So i will use in the exotics and play him as a hedge against my dorsett win play.

His race to win - nice forward moving pattern. expect his best number today but with the post and never running a number to be competitive is too slow. maybe running a 2 probably no better than 5th or 6th.

Grand Arch - fastest last race but with the post and expecting a slight set back will not play to win but a must use in exotics

Summary - dorsett to win with, Bobby's kitten, jack Milton and grand arch for the exotics.

Good luck,

George