Re: Hettinger stakes question (414 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: September 15, 2014 11:30PM
Most of us have learned that statistics can sometimes be a great indicator and nearly as often can be misleading.
[b]Invasor[/b] is the grandson of [b][color=#33CC66]Blushing Groom(FR)[/color][/b] which is certainly a turf positive. His dam side are all South Americans. The lack of turf racing in S.A. distorts any of those stats.
Regarding his progeny, I have not researched the details but I am of the opinion that (generally) early success on the dirt would reduce sample size of turf efforts and therefore distort statistical summaries. Additionally, poor dirt performers (those lacking so-called brilliance) could end up as career also ran turfers.
Then there is the dam side to consider. Bottom line... putting [b]Invasor[/b] in the negative column of turf sires may be a rush to judgement. I regard him as a stamina influence and longer turf races may serve his progeny well.
TG has stated repeatedly that [u]good[/u] turf horses run consistent tight patterns. So, I think the lack of figure variance speaks well of the two horses in question.
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