Del Mar saturday (1000 Views)
Posted by:
shanahan (IP Logged)
Date: November 15, 2014 11:55AM
late pik 4:
Race 6 - 2YO:
I have been beaten in the pik 4 three straight times by 2YO races. I did not use the TG sheet for this race. Mike Joyce is singling the 4 due to blinker addition. Unfortunately since mid-September, this horse has been to the track exactly twice to work (both in last 2 weeks). Tossing. Top 2YO sires for the 5 6 8 9. The 3 has a very high 1st time ROI. Using all 5, hoping one may scr.
Race 7:
Miller stock is running new tops and that puts the #1 in the mix. 4 is third out and improved 4 pts on turf. In. 6,3,9 logical. 11 has paired 6's and could go forward again under Desormeaux. 1,3,4,6,9,11 - another spread.
Race 8:
This is where it gets interesting. In the last week most of the winners had a TG synth track figure below 14. At least for the pik 4s I'm playing. The two in this race that fit that are #1, and #4. Thoropattern suggests the 1 regresses from his last pair. First time Hollendorfer at 27% under Mike Smith is enticing, but if he runs back to his initial fig, he's no faster than several. The celebrity horse drifted in per the notes in his initial foray, so not taking that one. While # 8 has no idea he ran in a MCL last time, the jump forward was too much for me to take...which leads me to #2 for hot Dan Hendricks. I'm willing to overlook the lone poly fig - awful - after consecutive tops, and now after a brief freshening, he's back. Expecting new top. Singling him for those of you who thought I was going "all" for the pik 4. If some scratches along the way, I may add the 1 back in - per Alan's suggestion on the show.
Race 9:
Expecting a bounce for # 7. Synthetics under the 14 fig are the 3,8,6,9,10 - and 6,9,10 are almost as fast as the #4, so I'll take 4 in the finale.
$60 bucks total.